Italy vs Türkiye

• Competition: UEFA Nations League
• Kick-off: 2026-10-06 02:45:00
• Status: Finished
• Full time: 3-1
• Half time: 1-0

Pre-match model estimate

• Home win: 63.6%
• Draw: 20.3%
• Away win: 16.1%
• Confidence: 68.9%
• Expected goals: 1.91 - 1.23
• Most likely scorelines: 2-0 (8.9%), 2-1 (8.8%), 1-1 (8.6%)
• Risk level: high
• Model figures generated: 2026-10-05 16:47 UTC

Head-to-head

5 played · 3 won · 2 drawn · 0 lost · 11 goals for · 4 goals against

• 2026-09-29 02:45:00 · UEFA Nations League · Türkiye 1-4 Italy · HT 0-3
• 2024-06-05 03:00:00 · International Friendly · Italy 0-0 Türkiye · HT 0-0
• 2022-03-30 02:45:00 · International Friendly · Türkiye 2-3 Italy · HT 1-2
• 2021-06-12 03:00:00 · UEFA European Championship · Türkiye 0-3 Italy · HT 0-0
• 2006-11-15 19:50:00 · Club Friendly · Italy 1-1 Türkiye · HT 1-1

Recent form — home side

20 played · 12 won · 3 drawn · 5 lost · 41 goals for · 26 goals against

• 2026-10-03 02:45:00 · UEFA Nations League · France 1-1 Italy · HT 0-0
• 2026-09-29 02:45:00 · UEFA Nations League · Türkiye 1-4 Italy · HT 0-3
• 2026-09-26 02:45:00 · UEFA Nations League · Italy 0-2 Belgium · HT 0-1
• 2026-06-08 03:00:00 · International Friendly · Greece 0-1 Italy · HT 0-1
• 2026-06-04 02:45:00 · International Friendly · Luxembourg 0-1 Italy · HT 0-0
• 2026-04-01 02:45:00 · World Cup Qualifying (UEFA) · Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-1 Italy · HT 0-1
• 2026-03-27 03:45:00 · World Cup Qualifying (UEFA) · Italy 2-0 Northern Ireland · HT 0-0
• 2025-11-17 03:45:00 · World Cup Qualifying (UEFA) · Italy 1-4 Norway · HT 1-0

Recent form — away side

20 played · 12 won · 1 drawn · 7 lost · 37 goals for · 29 goals against

• 2026-10-03 02:45:00 · UEFA Nations League · Belgium 3-0 Türkiye · HT 1-0
• 2026-09-29 02:45:00 · UEFA Nations League · Türkiye 1-4 Italy · HT 0-3
• 2026-09-26 02:45:00 · UEFA Nations League · Türkiye 0-1 France · HT 0-0
• 2026-06-26 10:00:00 · FIFA World Cup · Türkiye 3-2 United States · HT 2-1
• 2026-06-20 11:00:00 · FIFA World Cup · Türkiye 0-1 Paraguay · HT 0-1
• 2026-06-14 12:00:00 · FIFA World Cup · Australia 2-0 Türkiye · HT 1-0
• 2026-06-07 06:00:00 · International Friendly · Venezuela 1-2 Türkiye · HT 1-1
• 2026-06-02 01:30:00 · International Friendly · Türkiye 4-0 North Macedonia · HT 2-0